Bitcoin

3 reasons XRP might drop to $1.60 in March

The daily XRP graphic (XRP) recorded its lowest closure in 99 days on March 10. Altcoin fell below $ 2 support level but recorded a short -term recovery of 12% on March 11.

Ripple, XRP, markets, price analysis, market analysis

Table XRP 1 hour. Source: Cointelegraph / TradingView

On high-level graphics (HTF), XRP must hold above its psychological level at $ 2, but other measures suggest that a deeper reduction is possible.

The XRP markets lack buyers while future flip baisans

The XRP price is currently down 37.1% compared to its $ 3.40 summit. When prices dropped by a similar percentage on February 3, the cash market offers quickly absorbed the sale pressure, pushing XRP above $ 2.50.

Ripple, XRP, markets, price analysis, market analysis

XRP spot and perpetual aggregate data. Source: AGGR.TRADE

However, the Place de XRP and the perpetual markets were relatively down during last week. AGG.TRADE data indicate that the cumulative volume of XRP DELTA (CVD) dropped by 50% in March.

A negative MCV means that there is more sales volume than purchase. The current CVD value is $ 408 million, which signals the decreasing demand, the sellers taking control.

Likewise, long -term merchants also become lowering, with a perpetual CVD falling at -1.18 billion on March 11.

Ripple, XRP, markets, price analysis, market analysis

XRP financing rate table. Source: Coringlass

XRP whales continue to sell a wave

The XRP volume bubble map has shown an increase in activity towards the end of February. Ki-Young Ju, founder of cryptocurrency, observed that this increase aligned with a continuous distribution phase for XRP.

Distribution refers to a period of the market cycle when large investors slowly unload their positions to obtain gains, generally occurring near the peak of an upward trend.

Related: Why is the XRP price down today?

Current data reveal that the distribution phase has intensified in the last seven days. More specifically, whale outings, measured in a 30 -day mobile average, have regularly increased.

This increase suggests that large holders continued to unload their XRP positions, which leads the distribution trend more.

Ripple, XRP, markets, price analysis, market analysis

XRP Total whale flows. Source: cryptocurrency

Between March 4 and 10, these major XRP holders discharged around $ 838 million in posts. This important sale reflects the current lower trend for XRP.

Price XRP Price H&S refers to $ 1.60

On March 11, the graphic for a day of XRP closed below $ 2.05, which is the critical neckline of the daily head and shoulder motif. This scheme has potentially strong lowering consequences when observed on a high -time graph (HTF).

Ripple, XRP, markets, price analysis, market analysis

Table XRP at 1 day. Source: Cointelegraph / TradingView

The lower prices are likely if XRP fails to recover $ 2.05 as a support, as illustrated in the graph above.

The immediate target zone for the XRP price remains between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci trace lines. Also known as “Golden Zone”, Retest beach is between $ 1.90 and $ 1.60. The probability of retests on 0.618 fibonacci or $ 1.60 is raised in the current bearish environment.

Failure to comply with this range could lead to the long-term request zone between $ 1.58 and $ 1.27.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and negotiation movement involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when they make a decision.