Arthur Hayes predicted a spectacular accident in the value of Bitcoin, but said that he would rebound at a new summit of all time by the end of the year.
The majority of its arguments were not linked to market disorders linked to today’s depth, but he said that these events could serve as a catalyst.
Arthur Hayes expects a financial mini-crisis for Bitcoin
Arthur Hayes, former CEO of Bitmex, has changed its short -term predictions considerably for Bitcoin. Earlier this month, he said that the price of Bitcoin would culminate in mid-March before facing a severe correction.
However, today Hayes has updated his prediction to say that BTC was already on the precipice of this drop.
“Inversion of the order of my series of tryptic tests. I call a correction of $ 70,000 to $ 75,000 in BTC, a financial mini-crise and a recovery of the printing of money which will send us to $ 250,000 by the end of the year ” declared Hayes.
Hayes then published an in -depth ventilation of this projection on his personal blog. He has noted many global economic factors.
The short -term prediction of Hayes for Bitcoin is based on the deterioration of the global liquidity environment Fiat. This is motivated by the increase in yields of the US Treasury at 10 years old, a federal tightening reserve and a slowdown in money printing in major economies such as the United States, China and Japan.
These factors have increased financial stress. In turn, it creates a negative environment for trigger prices, including Bitcoin, which, according to Hayes, is very sensitive to world liquidity conditions.
“Why do I believe in a 30% correction for Bitcoin?” These types of withdrawals often occur on the bull market, given the volatile of Bitcoin. More importantly, the market exceeded the level of March 2024 in March 2024 just after Trump was re-elected in early November 2024. Many others, including myself, wrote a lot about the way Trumpism announces an acceleration of acceleration The impression of money in the United States and how the other nations responded in kind with money printing programs to increase their national economies, “wrote Hayes.
His initial forecasts were not linked to Deepseek, the Chinese AI protocol which has decimated the cryptography market today. However, the impact of Deepseek only increased his conviction.
Although the FNB BTC reached record volumes on Friday, long -term holders sold their assets in substantial quantities. Companies related to crypto as a microstrategy also felt the depth bite despite the purchase of huge amounts of BTC.
For Hayes, however, this has improved pre -existing Bitcoin trends.
Although President Trump has promised Pro-Crypto changes in many regulators, Hayes thinks that “the Fed will do what it can to frustrate Trump’s agenda”. In short, he thinks that personal vendettas interfere with a coherent policy.
Hayes also examined the economic policies of a few different countries and how they could have an impact on Bitcoin. In the end, he remains convinced that any slump will be temporary and will only lead to higher gains.
For the moment, however, the price reductions could be quite painful.
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