Bitcoin Network economist Timothy Peterson has increased the chances of Bitcoin (BTC) to hit a new summit in 100 days, and he maintains an optimistic perspective in 2025.
In an analysis shared on X which binds the action of BTC prices to the CBOE volatility index (VIX) – an indicator that measures market volatility expectations at 30 days – the analyst stressed that the VIX index has gone from 55 to 25 during the last 50 days of negotiation. A VIX score below 18 involved a “risk” environment, promoting assets like Bitcoin.
Peterson’s model, which had a 95%follow -up precision, predicted a target of $ 135,000 in the next 100 days if the VIX remains low. This is aligned with the sensitivity of Bitcoin to the feeling of the market, because a weak pension reduces uncertainty, encouraging investment in more risky assets.
Speaking on the volatility of Bitcoin, the director of the world macro of Fidelity, Jurrien Timmer, compared the nature of Bitcoin to “Dr.Jekyll and MR.Hyde”. Timmer thought that Bitcoin’s ability to act both as a value store (Dr Jekyll) and a speculative asset (M. Hyde) differentiates it from gold, which remains a coherent asset of “hard money”. Timmer highlighted the dynamics between bitcoin and global money supply and said,
“Note that when M2 grew up and the stock market is gathered, Bitcoin left for races because he has the two attributes that work for him. But when M2 has grown and the actions are corrected, not so much.”
This underlines the sensitivity of Bitcoin to macroeconomic conditions, which makes its performance less predictable than those of gold.
Related: the story of “decoupling” of the crypto ends while the actions follow the Bitcoin rally
Stablecoin’s market capitalization reaches a record of $ 220 billion
Cryptochant’s data stressed that Stablecoin’s market capitalization has reached a record of $ 220 billion, reporting a wave of liquidity on the crypto market. This marks the Bitcoin exit of a lower phase as the capital flows return, and with floors representing the liquidity of cryptography, new BTC summits could be a probable result in the coming weeks.
While BTC continues its upward trend, the lower framework graphics (LTF) reveal a change in market dynamics. The financing rate of BTC’s term contracts is again negative, indicating an increase in short positions while traders are betting against the rally.
The 4 -hour graph’s financing rate reached its most negative level in 2025, which indicates that short -side liquidity considerably exceeds long -term liquidity. This creates a condition for short potential pressure.
This imbalance could propel BTC to the level of $ 100,000. Cointtelegraph stressed that more than $ 3 billion is at risk of short -term liquidation, which can amplify the momentum upwards, catching the downside traders.
Related: Bitcoin Hodler Provens not made nearly 350% to $ 100,000 SELL-OFF Risks
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and negotiation movement involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when they make a decision.
