The main dishes to remember:
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Since 2021, 78% of the bitcoin bitcoin engulfing schemes have led to new local summits, in particular in broader trends.
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Bitcoin has absorbed more than $ 544 billion in capital since November 2022, bringing the market capitalization carried out at $ 944 billion.
Bitcoin (BTC) closed on Monday with a high daily gain of 4.34%, forming a bullish swallowing candlestier which completely reversed the previous two days of the lower price action. This model, coupled with the BTC, maintains support above $ 105,000 for two consecutive days, indicates a potential change in the market structure and adds weight to continuous recovery.
Despite the upward technical configuration, the feeling of the market remains divided, which caused a deeper examination. To assess the reliability of this model, Cointelegraph has carried out a comparative analysis of all the bullish swallowing training on the daily graph of BTC since 2021.
While the Haussier swallowing scheme has served as a main signal, additional criteria were used to validate its strength:
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The engulfing candle must at least include the previous two candles.
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The pattern must emerge at the end of a corrective phase, indicating a potential tendency reversal.
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In the sessions following the engulfing scheme, a clear rupture of the structure must be observed to confirm the bullish momentum.
Since January 2021, Bitcoin has recorded 19 bodies of the Haussier swallowing model meeting the defined confirmation criteria. Among these, 15 led to the training of new local heights in the following days or weeks, translating by a historic success rate of around 78%.
In particular, the 19 bodies occurred in a broader context of the Haussier market. In 2024 and 2025, there were only two failed signals, in May 2024 and March 2025, where the model did not lead to new prices.
Despite these exceptions, the structure of the Haussier market in force suggests a statistically favorable environment for continuation, Bitcoin is currently positioned to make new heights before potentially relying the level of $ 100,000.
For a broader context, the same scheme was also observed during the 2022 bear market, where four occurrences were identified. None of these elements led to new heights, with three bodies grouped in February 2022.
This contrast underlines the importance of the context of trends, because the effectiveness of the model has historically been limited in downward trends, further strengthening the greatest probability of success during the current Haussier market.
Related: the price of bitcoin begins the “normal and healthy” support test while $ 108,000 interrupt the bulls
Bitcoin flashes “undeniably bullish” liquidity conditions
Bitcoin market conditions have flash an unclear configuration since the end of 2022. Despite general panic, the BTC has a background at $ 16,800 and doubled in three months. According to recent swissblock data, liquidity levels returned to those observed in December 2022, referring to a potentially optimistic continuation.
While the macro environment, market players and catalysts have changed, a fundamental truth remains coherent: when liquidity is recovered, the BTC price follows. The current structure suggests that Bitcoin could be positioned for a similar break because capital returns to the system.
The role of liquidity has considerably changed this cycle considerably, highlighting the growing maturity of Bitcoin as a macro ratio. Since the low cycle in November 2022, Bitcoin has absorbed more than $ 544 billion in capital admissions, resulting in internal liquidity or market capitalization made at a summit of $ 944 billion.
Related: Bitcoin analysts say it must happen so that the BTC price breaks $ 112,000
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and negotiation movement involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when they make a decision.
