The main dishes to remember:
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Bitcoin is ahead of his long -term “law of power” curve, historically leading to euphoric summits in previous cycles.
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A decrease in the dollar and decline in interest rate of the planned federal reserve can trigger a wider risk rally, bitcoin as a major beneficiary.
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The FNB Bitcoin Spot captured 70% of the goldencies in 2025.
Bitcoin (BTC) joined 10% in July, reaching new heights at $ 118,600, and this could only be the start of a parabolic rally according to the anonymous analyst of Bitcoin Apsk32. The analyst said Bitcoin could be worth up to $ 258,000 if history is repeated.
According to APSK32, the action of bitcoin prices has followed a long -term power curve trend line, a mathematical model reflecting the exponential growth of BTC over time. He measures the difference in prices compared to this trend, not only in terms of dollars, but in units of time, an approach known as Power Law Time Contours.
The analyst explained that Bitcoin has just over two years before his power curve, which means that if the price remained flat, he would take more than two years for the long -term trend line again. APSK32 said,
“We are currently above 79% of historical data using this metric. The highest 20% is what I call “GREED Extreme”. These are the highly upsets that arrive every four years. »»
The zone of “extreme greed” extends from $ 112,000 to $ 258,000, an area seen during the Euphoric Bitcoin peaks in 2013, 2017 and 2021. The analyst involved that “if the four -year model continues”, Bitcoin could be between $ 20,000 and $ 300,000 per Christmas, before the noisy momentum begins at the start of 2026.
Likewise, Satraj Bambra, CEO of Perpetual Trading Platform Rails, told Cintelelegraph that some macroeconomic forces could lead a much higher bitcoin in 2025. Bambra highlighted a expanding federal reserve and a pivot to lower interest rates, potentially under the new Fed leaders, responding to Ascending prices, as key catalogs. Together, these changes could ignite a wide rally -based rally, with a bitcoin about to benefit.
Bambra cited the US dollar index (DXY) below 100 as a critical early signal of this macro pivot, suggesting that a wave of rate cuts and a fresh stimulus could soon follow. In this context, the CEO said,
“I see Bitcoin becoming parabolic in the region from $ 300,000 to 500K trained by two key forces.”
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Bitcoin ETF catches up with gold as the risk rally is built
According to Ecoinometrics, the funds negotiated in exchange Bitcoin (ETF) obtained ground, capturing 70% of its up -to -date year entries, according to the bitch. This strong rebound of a slow 2025 Start signals institutional growth and confidence as Bitcoin as a legitimate value store.
Bitcoin remains an asset at risk, with a moderate correlation with the Nasdaq 100 in the last 12 months, in accordance with its average at five years. Its low correlation with gold and links highlights its role as a unique portfolio.
Echoing this feeling, the director of the world macro of Fidelity, Jurrien Timmer, recently noted that the baton returned to Bitcoin. According to Timmer, the narrowing gap in the Sharpe ratios between Bitcoin and Gold points to BTC offering higher yields adjusted to the risk. The Sharpe Gauges ratio of the excessive amount of yield that an asset offers for the risk level taken, comparing its performance to a risk -free reference adjusted for volatility.
The graph below, based on weekly data from 2018 to July 2025, underlines how Bitcoin yields (1x) ended on Gold’s (4x). In terms of relative performance, Gold amounts to $ 20.34, while Bitcoin climbed $ 16.95.
Related: Bitcoin 120K expectations Add fuel to ETH, hype, plain and sei
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and negotiation movement involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when they make a decision.
