The main dishes to remember:
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The cumulative volume of the Delta LTC has overturned positive for the first time since December 2024, signaling a positive change in the feeling of the market.
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A Potential ETF LTC could trigger the demand of institutional investors and align with its historically solid performance.
Litecoin (LTC) slipped below the $ 90 mark, and although the price action may seem low, several fundamental indicators and Onchain suggest that the tide could soon turn to bulls.
A change of bullish trend can be identified from the 90 -day delta (CVD), which assesses the balance between the purchase of the market and the sales pressure. After having remained negative and sometimes neutral since December 2024, the CVD Spot overturned positive on Saturday. This change indicates a return to a “dominant purchase” phase, which suggests that market players work to buy LTCs at current prices.
The positive feeling around a potential fund on LTC (ETF) exchanges could feed the optimistic case. Cointelegraph reported that Bloomberg ETF analysts think that there is a 95% chance that an ETF of the LTC, alongside ETF Sol and XRP, could receive the approval of the dry by October 2. Successful approval would be a historic step for Altcoin, to unlock institutional investors and broader retail exposure.
However, seasonality could alleviate short -term expectations. The data show that August and September is historically the lowest months for SLDs, displaying negative yields of 6.99% and 5.06% on average since 2012. However, this is generally followed by a significant reversal in the fourth quarter, the month of November being the most high -performance month for SLD with 94.79% on average.
If approval is granted, ETF’s decision coincides with the LTC seasonal performance pivot, preparing the ground for a potential rally. Combined with continuous change in the behavior of onchain buyers, the current low price can be less a warning panel and more than one strategic accumulation area.
Related: Sol Etf News Gain evaporates, while the graph warns against another decrease of 20%
LTC Daily Chart Echoes of the Configuration of 2024
The current price structure of the LTC reflects its 2024 trajectory. After a solid Rallye Q1 earlier this year, the LTC entered a correction phase and remained deleted under a descending trend line throughout the T2.
The price retests a daily request zone with a strong conviction (highlighted in orange), which previously acted as a base for an escape in the fourth quarter 2024.
A regular accumulation in this request zone could trigger another rally. At the end of the third quarter of last year, the LTC broke out above the descending trend line and recovered the mobile averages of 50 days and 200 days, a key confirmation of bullish force. This led to a rally supported by new annual heights in the fourth quarter.
An escape above the trend line and the bullish recovery of these mobile averages would provide a strong technical validation for the upward continuation before the fourth quarter of 2025.
Related: Bitcoin tightens shorts in $ 108,000 peak while American jobs drop the most in 2 years
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and negotiation movement involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when they make a decision.
