Trump Threatens 100% Secondary Tariffs on Russia’s Trade Partners if No Ukraine Peace Deal in 50 Days

President Donald Trump published a new net threat on Monday aimed at putting an end to the war in Ukraine: a 50 -day deadline for Russian President Vladimir Putin to accept a peace agreement – or face radical “secondary prices” of around 100% on the nations that are negotiated with Moscow.

“We are very, very unhappy with them, and we will make very serious prices, if you do not have a contract in 50 days, prices at around 100%, they call them secondary prices,” said Trump from the White House while meeting the secretary general of NATO, Mark Rutte.

Trump added that he was “disappointed” from Putin, saying that he expected an agreement months ago.

“So, on the basis of this, we are going to make secondary prices,” added Trump.

But the threat, which would impose rigorous levies on countries and businesses with Russia – especially in energy and raw materials – attracts more skepticism than surprise. Critics say that this decision can be another example of Trump’s difficult speech model with limited follow -up, especially when it comes to Putin.

A persuasive approach to the confrontation

The president has long been criticized for his unusually conciliatory posture towards Putin. Unlike his predecessor Joe Biden, whose administration has adopted an approach to confrontation by rallying NATO, strongly arming Ukraine and implementing radical financial sanctions in Moscow, Trump has always opted for persuasion.

He said on several occasions – without providing details – that he could end the war within 24 hours by “sitting both sides” and making a contract contract. This posture, and his refusal to strongly criticize Putin even after the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, earned Trump a reputation to be indulgent on Russia.

The price threat on Monday, although more daring than usual, is considered by some to be hollow. Others highlight Trump’s previous praise for Putin’s leadership style and his skepticism towards NATO as additional signs that the tariff warning could be more political theater than politics.

If it were implemented, the so -called secondary rates would aim for nations which would continue to buy Russian exports – in particular oil, gas, cereals and industrial products. Among those potentially in the reticle: China, India, Brazil, Turkiye and others who have maintained or even extended trade with Moscow despite Western sanctions.

This decision could create a major geopolitical friction. Countries like India and China are now deeply linked to Russia’s energy and commercial networks. Any attempt to penalize them could risk a global commercial confrontation-and perhaps turn against the United States and its own supply chains.

Would it even work?

Beyond doubts about Trump’s will to impose prices, there is another persistent question: would that be important?

Russia has mostly resisted the storm of past Western sanctions and prices. He has reoriented his energy exports to Asia, reduced trade in third countries and relied on massive foreign reserves to stabilize his economy. Even with billions of frozen active ingredients and restricted access to Western Tech, the Moscow war effort continued largely tirelessly.

Analysts warn that another tariff cycle – even with a rate of 100% – can do little to force a change of policy in the Kremlin.

Former CIA officer Dan Hoffman said on Fox News that the massive strike on Kyiv just after PoutineThe call with Trump was not a coincidence. Poutine wants to show force.

Trump did not specify which products would be targeted or how the prices would be applied. There was also no clarity to find out if he was looking for multilateral support for the American allies or would act unilaterally. Without these details, analysts say that the threat looks more like posture than to exploitable foreign policy.

However, this signals Trump’s growing frustration in the face of the conflict. In March, he launched a similar warning, saying that he would impose secondary prices on all Russian oil if no peace agreement was concluded and if he judged responsible Russia.

“We get a lot of bullshit launched We by Poutine. He is very nice all the time, but that turns out that it does not make sense, “he said earlier this month.

Although this time, Trump, he added a calendar – 50 days – creating a potential calculation moment in early September, his record for restraint for the implementation of threats, as notable in his global tariff policies, earned him the nickname Taco (Trump Always Chicken).

In this context, Trump’s remarks are currently generating more questions than confidence. And for Putin – who has challenged NATO, Western sanctions and American prices for more than two years – it is not clear if the latter threat will move the needle.